Polymarket Whale Intelligence — The only whale tracker that counts losses.
94% of Polymarket "top whales" are fake.
Polymarket leaderboards only count redeemed wins. When traders lose, their tokens expire worthless — and expired positions don't show up in leaderboard stats. So every tracker that uses leaderboard data shows inflated win rates:
| Whale | Leaderboard WR | Real WR | Hidden Losses |
|---|---|---|---|
| DrPufferfish | 98% | 24% | 139 |
| Countryside | 100% | 22% | 64 |
| weflyhigh | 95% | 29% | 47 |
We track expired positions as losses. This eliminates 94% of "whales" and reveals who actually has edge.
- Survivorship Bias Fix — Count expired positions. Reveal real win rates.
- Category Win Rates — A whale might be 91% in sports but 40% in crypto. We track per-category.
- Alpha Score — Measures actual edge over market consensus, not just win rate.
- Real-Time Alerts — Telegram alerts within 30 seconds of whale trades.
- Entry + Exit Tracking — Most trackers only show buys. We alert on sells too.
- Custom Filters — Set minimum score, trade size, and category preferences.
🟢 WHALE BUY 👑
🐋 @TopTrader
📊 Score: 83 | WR: 92%
⚽ Category WR: 91.7% (sports)
🎯 NBA — Lakers vs Celtics Over/Under
Outcome: Over 220.5
Price: 0.55 (55%)
Size: $1,100
⚽ #sports | View Market
- Open @WraithAlertsbot on Telegram
- Send
/start - Alerts arrive automatically
- Instant alerts (0 delay)
- Category filters
- Custom score thresholds
- Full whale leaderboard
- Market search with whale sentiment
Send /pro in the bot to upgrade.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Whales Tracked | 4,000+ |
| Active Whales | 3,500+ |
| Trades Analyzed | 100,000+ |
| Alert Speed | ~30 seconds |
| Categories | Sports, Crypto, Politics, Geopolitics, Entertainment, Science/Tech |
┌─────────────┐ ┌──────────────┐ ┌───────────────┐
│ Polymarket │────▶│ Collector │────▶│ SQLite DB │
│ Data API │ │ (4 workers) │ │ (wraith.db) │
└─────────────┘ └──────────────┘ └───────┬───────┘
│
┌──────────────┐ │
│ Alerts Bot │◀──────────────┘
│ (Telegram) │
└──────┬───────┘
│
┌────────────┼────────────┐
▼ ▼ ▼
Free Users Pro Users Channel
(15min delay) (instant) (public)
- Collector: Polls 3,500+ whale addresses every 5 minutes
- Scoring Engine: Alpha-based v2 scoring with position history analysis
- Alerts Bot: 30-second polling, intelligent trade deduplication
- Landing Page: Live stats dashboard at wraith.pixio.cloud
What makes this different from other trackers? We count expired positions as losses. Every other tracker only uses leaderboard data, which hides losses.
How do you calculate the "Alpha Score"? Alpha measures a whale's edge over random market consensus. It factors in: real win rate (including losses), position sizing, category performance, and consistency over time.
Is this financial advice? No. Wraith Alerts provides data and signals. Trading prediction markets involves substantial risk. Always DYOR.
Built by @rafamav | Not financial advice
