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63 changes: 63 additions & 0 deletions scripts/ch07_simple_linear_regression.py
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
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"""
Chapter 7 — Simple Linear Regression (R mirror)
- Embedded 'cars' dataset (speed, dist)
- Prints coef, sigma, R^2, predictions
- --save-plot writes outputs/ch07_slr.png
"""
import argparse, math, os
import numpy as np
import matplotlib
matplotlib.use("Agg")
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt

CARS = np.array([
(4,2),(4,10),(7,4),(7,22),(8,16),(9,10),(10,18),(10,26),(10,34),(11,17),
(11,28),(12,14),(12,20),(12,24),(12,28),(13,26),(13,34),(13,34),(13,46),(14,26),
(14,36),(14,60),(14,80),(15,20),(15,26),(15,54),(16,32),(16,40),(17,32),(17,40),
(17,50),(18,42),(18,56),(18,76),(18,84),(19,36),(19,46),(19,68),(20,32),(20,48),
(20,52),(20,56),(20,64),(22,66),(23,54),(24,70),(24,92),(24,93),(24,120),(25,85),
], dtype=float)

def fit_slr(x, y):
Sxy = np.sum((x - x.mean())*(y - y.mean()))
Sxx = np.sum((x - x.mean())**2)
b1 = Sxy / Sxx
b0 = y.mean() - b1 * x.mean()
yhat = b0 + b1*x
resid = y - yhat
n = len(x)
s2 = np.sum(resid**2) / (n - 2)
sigma = math.sqrt(s2)
R2 = 1 - np.sum(resid**2)/np.sum((y - y.mean())**2)
return b0, b1, yhat, resid, sigma, R2

def main():
ap = argparse.ArgumentParser()
ap.add_argument("--save-plot", action="store_true")
args = ap.parse_args()

x, y = CARS[:,0], CARS[:,1]
b0, b1, yhat, resid, sigma, R2 = fit_slr(x, y)

print("Coefficients:")
print("(Intercept) =", round(b0,6))
print("speed =", round(b1,6))
print("Residual standard error (sigma):", round(sigma,5))
print("R^2:", round(R2,6))
for s in [8, 21, 50]:
print(f"Prediction dist | speed={s}: {round(b0 + b1*s, 5)}")

if args.save_plot:
os.makedirs("outputs", exist_ok=True)
xs = np.linspace(x.min(), x.max(), 200)
plt.figure()
plt.scatter(x, y, s=40)
plt.plot(xs, b0 + b1*xs, linewidth=3)
plt.xlabel("Speed (mph)"); plt.ylabel("Stopping Distance (ft)")
plt.title("Stopping Distance vs Speed — Fitted SLR")
out = "outputs/ch07_slr.png"
plt.savefig(out, dpi=130, bbox_inches="tight")
print("Saved plot ->", out)

if __name__ == "__main__":
main()