VIEWS model library

This section provides a brief overview of the prediction models that generated the datasets available via the VIEWS API. For more information about each model, please consult the methodology pages on the VIEWS website.

Data infrastructure	Model	Model version	Description	Outcome	Levels of analysis (LOA)	Temporal resolution	Temporal scope	Spatial scope	Source code	Further reading
VIEWS3	fatalities	002	The second iteration of the fatalities model	Continuous (number of fatalities per LOA) and dichotomous (probability of at least 25 BRDs per cm, and at least 1 BRD per pgm)	Country-month (cm) and PRIO-GRID-month (pgm)	Monthly	1-36 months ahead	Global at cm level; Africa and Middle East at pgm level	viewsforecasting	Hegre et al. 2022
VIEWS3	fatalities	001	Developed in collaboration with UK FCDO	Continuous (number of fatalities per LOA) and dichotomous (probability of at least 25 BRDs per cm, and at least 1 BRD per pgm)	Country-month (cm) and PRIO-GRID-month (pgm)	Monthly	1-36 months ahead	Global at cm level, Africa and Middle East at pgm level	viewsforecasting	Hegre et al. 2022
VIEWS2	ViEWS	2020	Developed with funding from ERC	Dichotomous (probability of at least 25 BRDs per cm, and at least 1 BRD per pgm)	Country-month (cm) and PRIO-GRID-month (pgm)	Monthly	1-36 months ahead	Africa and Middle East	OpenViEWS2	Hegre et al. 2021
VIEWS1	ViEWS	2018	Developed with funding from ERC	Dichotomous (probability of at least 25 BRDs per cm, and at least 1 BRD per pgm)	Country-month (cm) and PRIO-GRID-month (pgm)	Monthly	1-36 months ahead	Africa	OpenViEWS	Hegre et al. 2019
VIEWS2	ViEWS-ESCWA	N/A	Developed with funding from UN ESCWA	Dichotomous (probability of at least 25 BRDs per cm, and at least 1 BRD per pgm)	Country-month (cm) and PRIO-GRID-month (pgm)	Monthly	1-36 months ahead	Global at cm level, Africa and Middle East at pgm level	NA (private)	Forthcoming