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AutoResearch — Autonomous DEX Strategy Discovery

Karpathy-style autoresearch for Base DEX trading — an AI agent that iteratively mutates, backtests, and evolves strategies against real Uniswap V3 + Aerodrome data on Base. Every experiment is remembered via LCM (Lossless Context Management), making each mutation smarter than the last. Built for The Synthesis Hackathon (March 13–22, 2026).

License: MIT Node.js Tests Base Bankr Compatible OpenClaw


The Thesis

Most trading bots are static. Someone writes a strategy, deploys it, and prays. When markets shift, the strategy breaks and a human has to manually intervene.

AutoResearch eliminates the human bottleneck. An AI agent runs a continuous research loop — proposing hypotheses, testing them against real Base DEX data, keeping only improvements, and learning from every failure. The agent doesn't just execute trades; it discovers how to trade.

The key insight: LCM memory makes the agent learn from its own research history. Instead of blind mutations, the agent queries what parameter ranges work, what signal combinations improve Sharpe, and what approaches consistently fail. Each experiment is smarter because the agent remembers every previous one.

Built in 12 Hours

This entire system — 14 source modules, 51 tests, 230+ experiments, 71+ live trades, x402 payments, regime detection, daemon service — was built from zero to production in a single 12-hour session during The Synthesis Hackathon (March 21-22, 2026). Daemon continues running post-session, autonomously iterating.

Timeline:

  • Hour 0-2: Core engine (indicators, backtest, scoring, memory)
  • Hour 2-4: Benchmark strategies + autonomous research loop
  • Hour 4-6: Bankr LLM Gateway integration — first 75 LLM-driven experiments (score: 0.421 → 0.740)
  • Hour 6-8: Real data pipeline, regime detection, production execution engine
  • Hour 8-10: Daemon service, live Bankr trades on Base, x402 micropayment service
  • Hour 10-12: Score breakthrough (2.838 → 8.176), 70+ live trades, Devfolio submission, Moltbook posts

No pre-existing codebase. No templates. Built from npm init to autonomous daemon discovering strategies and executing trades on Base mainnet.

How It Works

┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│             AutoResearch Loop                        │
│                                                      │
│  1. Read strategy.js + full score history            │
│  2. Query LCM: "what worked? what failed?"           │
│  3. LLM proposes ONE targeted mutation               │
│  4. Backtest against 4 Base DEX pairs (real data)    │
│  5. Score improved? → KEEP (commit + log)            │
│     Score worse?    → REVERT (log failure reason)    │
│  6. Update memory → repeat (smarter each time)       │
│                                                      │
│  Every experiment logged. Nothing lost. Agent learns. │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

Architecture

┌────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│                    AUTORESEARCH ENGINE                          │
│                                                                │
│  ┌─────────────┐  ┌─────────────────┐  ┌──────────────────┐   │
│  │  Controller  │→│  Strategy File   │→│   Backtest Engine │   │
│  │  (mutate →   │  │  (single source  │  │  (fee model,      │   │
│  │   test →     │  │   of truth)      │  │   scoring, DD)    │   │
│  │   learn)     │  │                  │  │                   │   │
│  └──────┬───────┘  └─────────────────┘  └────────┬──────────┘   │
│         │                                         │              │
│         ▼                                         ▼              │
│  ┌─────────────┐  ┌─────────────────┐  ┌──────────────────┐   │
│  │  LCM Memory  │  │  10 Indicators   │  │    Reporter       │   │
│  │  (experiment │  │  RSI, MACD, BB,  │  │  (batch reports,  │   │
│  │   history,   │  │  ATR, VWAP,      │  │   Discord/TG)     │   │
│  │   patterns)  │  │  Stochastic...   │  │                   │   │
│  └──────────────┘  └─────────────────┘  └──────────────────┘   │
│                                                                │
│  ┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐   │
│  │                  BANKR INTEGRATION                       │   │
│  │  LLM Gateway (mutations) │ Wallet (live execution)      │   │
│  │  Balance checks │ Trade execution │ Portfolio tracking   │   │
│  └─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘   │
│                                                                │
│  ┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐   │
│  │                  DATA LAYER (Base DEX)                    │   │
│  │  ETH/USDC (Uni V3 0.05%) │ ETH/USDC (Uni V3 0.3%)      │   │
│  │  cbETH/WETH (Uni V3)     │ AERO/USDC (Aerodrome)        │   │
│  │  500+ hourly candles per pair │ Real on-chain data       │   │
│  └─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘   │
└────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

Quick Start

git clone https://github.com/darks0l/autoresearch.git
cd autoresearch

# Fetch historical Base DEX data
node scripts/fetch-data.js

# Run benchmark strategies
node scripts/run-benchmarks.js

# Launch autonomous research (30 experiments)
node scripts/run-autoresearch.js --max 30

# Run persistent daemon (auto-iterates, auto-commits)
node scripts/daemon.js --batch 15 --model claude-sonnet-4.5 --target 10.0

# Run tests (45/45)
npm test

Modules (14 Source Files)

Module File Purpose
Controller src/controller.js AutoResearch loop — mutate → backtest → keep/revert → learn
Backtest Engine src/backtest.js Full backtester with fee model, composite scoring, drawdown tracking
Indicators src/indicators.js 10 pure-math indicators (RSI, MACD, BB, ATR, VWAP, Stochastic, OBV, EMA, Williams %R, Percentile Rank)
Regime Detection src/regime.js Market regime classifier — Hurst exponent, trend strength, volatility ranking
LCM Memory src/memory.js Experiment logging, pattern queries, session-persistent learning
Data Layer src/data.js Historical data loading for 4 Base DEX pairs
Data Feed src/datafeed.js Production multi-source data pipeline (DeFiLlama + CoinGecko + Base RPC)
Execution Engine src/executor.js Live trading via Bankr — risk management, position sizing, paper/live modes
Bankr Integration src/bankr.js Bankr LLM Gateway for mutations + wallet for live execution
Reporter src/reporter.js Batch reports, final summaries, Discord/Telegram formatting
Pair Discovery src/discovery.js Manual pair add/remove + auto-scan top Base DEX pools by TVL
Config src/config.js Centralized configuration, model selection, thresholds
Daemon scripts/daemon.js Persistent autonomous runner — batch experiments, auto-sync, credit tracking
Report Generator scripts/report.js Human-readable reports (Markdown + styled HTML)
Entry Point src/index.js Public API — all exports for skill/library usage

Scoring System

Each strategy is scored with a composite metric designed to reward consistent, risk-adjusted returns:

score = sharpe × √(min(trades/50, 1.0)) − drawdown_penalty − turnover_penalty
  • Sharpe ratio — risk-adjusted return (higher = better)
  • Trade activity factor — penalizes strategies that avoid trading (√ scaling)
  • Drawdown penalty — penalizes deep equity drawdowns
  • Turnover penalty — penalizes excessive churn (commission drag)

Benchmark Results

Real Data (CoinGecko — 703 hourly candles per pair, 4 Base DEX pairs)

Strategy Score Return % Max DD Trades Era
Dual-Regime Portfolio (exp199) 8.176 +10.7% 2.2% 134 LLM Daemon
Dynamic Breakout Lookback (exp183) 7.991 +10.7% 3.2% 96 LLM Daemon
Adaptive Profit Targets (exp180) 7.875 +10.7% 3.4% LLM Daemon
ATR Percentile Filter (exp170) 7.327 LLM Daemon
Pure Trend Breakout (exp163) 5.310 5.1% 102 LLM Daemon
Ensemble Voting (exp161) 4.512 +6.2% 3.3% 84 Manual Structural
Multi-TF Trend Filter (exp151) 3.777 +5.6% 69 LLM Daemon
ATR Trail Tightening (exp128) 3.668 +5.6% 9.3% 42 LLM Daemon
Adaptive Trend-Following (exp117) 2.838 +5.6% 5.9% 65 Manual Structural
VWAP Best (exp074, synthetic) 0.740 +8.6% 14.2% 55 LLM (Bankr)
VWAP Baseline 0.421 +1.8% 5.8% 55 Manual
VWAP on Real Data -1.460 -6.0% 16.1% 127 — (overfit)

Score Evolution: 0.421 → 8.176 (+1,842%)

Score
8.18 ┤                                                          ★ exp199 (dual-regime)
7.99 ┤                                                     ● exp183 (dynamic lookback)
7.88 ┤                                                ● exp180 (adaptive profit)
7.33 ┤                                          ● exp170 (ATR percentile)
5.31 ┤                                   ● exp163 (pure breakout)
4.51 ┤                             ● exp161 (ensemble voting)
3.78 ┤                        ● exp151 (multi-TF filter)
3.67 ┤                      ● exp128 (ATR trail)
2.84 ┤               ● exp117 (trend-following redesign)
0.74 ┤        ● exp074 (VWAP tuned)
0.42 ┤  ● baseline
     └────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬───
          0    25    50    75   100   125   150   175   200   230
                              Experiment #

Four Strategy Eras

The agent progressed through four distinct architectural eras — each required structural redesign, not just parameter tuning:

  1. VWAP Mean-Reversion (exp1-74, score 0.42→0.74) — Classic mean-reversion on synthetic data. Peaked at 0.74, collapsed to -1.46 on real data. Textbook overfitting.

  2. Adaptive Trend-Following (exp117, score 2.84) — Complete redesign: Donchian breakout + EMA trend filter + RSI dip-buying + ATR trailing stops. First strategy profitable on real data.

  3. Ensemble Voting (exp161, score 4.51) — 3 independent sub-strategies (Donchian, RSI dip-buy, MACD momentum) vote independently. 2+ votes required. Conviction-weighted sizing.

  4. Dual-Regime Portfolio (exp163-199, score 5.31→8.18) — LLM-discovered improvements: pure breakout → ATR percentile filter → adaptive profit targets → dynamic lookback → dual-strategy Hurst allocation. Two parallel strategies (trend breakout + mean-reversion) with Hurst exponent capital allocation.

Experiment History — All Kept Experiments

230+ total experiments across 12+ hours of autonomous iteration. 60 kept, 170 reverted (26.1% hit rate). Score evolution: 0.421 → 8.176 (+1,843% improvement).

Era 1: VWAP Parameter Tuning (synthetic data, claude-haiku-4.5 via Bankr)

Exp Hypothesis Score Insight
exp004 deviation 0.02→0.03 0.486 Wider threshold catches bigger moves
exp037 ATR period 14→7 0.615 Faster ATR improves position sizing
exp053 exitThreshold 0.01→0.015 0.671 Hold longer, catch full mean-reversion
exp065 deviationThreshold 0.025→0.022 0.714 Earlier entries at tighter threshold
exp070 RSI period 14→10 0.726 Faster RSI = better entry timing
exp074 ATR period 7→5 0.740 Most responsive volatility scaling

Era 2: Real Data Redesign (manual structural change)

Exp Hypothesis Score Insight
exp117 Complete redesign: Donchian + EMA + RSI + ATR trailing 2.838 VWAP was overfit. Trend-following works on real data.

Era 3: LLM Daemon Evolution (claude-sonnet-4.5 via Bankr, autonomous)

Exp Hypothesis Score Insight
exp126 Regime-based position sizing (Hurst exponent) 2.919 Increase exposure in trending regimes
exp128 ATR trail multiple 2.0→1.5 3.668 Tighter trailing stops = Sharpe 4.002
exp137 ROC momentum + ATR profit-taking exit 3.741 Simplified regime detection, DD 9.3%→7.1%
exp151 Multi-TF trend filter (50-EMA slope) 3.777 Filters counter-trend trades

Era 3.5: Manual Structural Break (ensemble voting)

Exp Hypothesis Score Insight
exp161 Ensemble voting (Donchian + RSI + MACD) + macro filter 4.512 +19.4% — 3 sub-strategies vote, 2+ required

Era 4: Daemon Discovers Structural Improvements

After the ensemble broke the 3.78 ceiling, the daemon's mutation prompt was overhauled to force structural thinking. Auto-escalation plateau detector (3 tiers) bans parameter tweaks after 5+ consecutive failures.

Exp Hypothesis Score Insight
exp163 Pure trend-following breakout (stripped mean-reversion) 5.310 Simpler is better — focus on what works
exp170 ATR percentile filter (60th pctl vs raw ATR>SMA) 7.327 +38% — quality filter beats moving average
exp180 Adaptive profit targets (2x ATR weak, 4x ATR strong trend) 7.875 Scale exits with conviction
exp183 Dynamic breakout lookback (15/25 by vol regime) 7.991 Adapt entry sensitivity to market state
exp199 Dual-strategy Hurst portfolio (breakout + mean-reversion) 8.176 Run 2 strategies in parallel, allocate by regime

Key Insights from 230 Experiments

  1. Overfitting is real. VWAP scored 0.74 on synthetic data, -1.46 on real data. Always test on real data.
  2. LLMs excel at parameter tuning but struggle with structural innovation. The daemon found 5.31→8.18 through incremental improvements, but the 0.74→2.84 and 3.78→4.51 jumps required human-directed structural redesign.
  3. Auto-escalation works. Banning parameter tweaks after plateaus forced the LLM to discover ATR percentile filtering (the biggest single improvement).
  4. Exit logic > entry logic. Most failed experiments modified entries. Most kept experiments modified exits.
  5. Simpler beats complex. The ensemble (exp161, 3 strategies) was beaten by pure trend-following (exp163) that stripped it back to one clean signal.

Strategy Interface

import { rsi, ema, bollingerBands, vwap, atr } from '../src/indicators.js';

export class Strategy {
  onBar(barData, portfolio) {
    // barData['ETH/USDC'].history → 500+ hourly candles
    // portfolio.cash, portfolio.positions, totalEquity
    return [{ pair: 'ETH/USDC', targetPosition: 10000 }];
  }
}

LCM Memory Integration

Every experiment is logged in a format LCM can index and query:

[2026-03-21T18:00:00Z] ✓ KEPT exp004: deviation 0.02→0.03 → score=0.486 sharpe=0.716 dd=4.7%
[2026-03-21T18:02:00Z] ✗ REVERTED exp005: cooldown 3→2 → score=0.486 (no improvement)

Before each mutation, the agent queries its history:

  • "What RSI periods have we tried? Which improved Sharpe?"
  • "What deviation thresholds were tested? What's the optimal range?"
  • "Which structural changes (new indicators, multi-timeframe) haven't been explored yet?"

This makes the research loop convergent — the agent avoids re-testing failed ideas and focuses on unexplored territory.

Configuration

Variable Description Default
AUTORESEARCH_MODEL LLM for mutation proposals claude-sonnet-4-6
BANKR_API_KEY Bankr LLM Gateway key
UNISWAP_API_KEY Uniswap Developer Platform API key
BASE_RPC_URL Base RPC endpoint mainnet.base.org
MAX_EXPERIMENTS Experiments per run 30
REPORT_EVERY Report interval 5

OpenClaw Integration

As a Skill

# Install as OpenClaw skill
cp -r autoresearch ~/.openclaw/skills/autoresearch

# Use in chat
"Run 30 autoresearch experiments and report to #autoresearch-lab"

As a Cron Job

// Every 6 hours: run 10 experiments autonomously
{
  schedule: { kind: "every", everyMs: 21600000 },
  payload: { kind: "agentTurn", message: "Run 10 autoresearch experiments, report results" }
}

Bankr Compatibility

  • LLM Gateway (llm.bankr.bot) — mutation proposals via Bankr-funded models
  • Live Execution — optional trade execution via Bankr wallet
  • Portfolio Integration — compatible with @darksol/bankr-router for routing
  • Skill Installdarksol skills install autoresearch

Production Roadmap

  • Phase 1: Core engine — backtest, indicators, scoring, memory ✅
  • Phase 2: Benchmark suite — 3 baseline strategies ✅
  • Phase 3: Autonomous research loop — mutation → test → learn ✅
  • Phase 4: LCM memory — persistent cross-session learning ✅
  • Phase 5: Bankr LLM Gateway for mutations — LIVE (claude-haiku-4.5 → claude-sonnet-4.5, 117+ experiments) ✅
  • Phase 6: Regime-aware adaptive strategy (Hurst exponent + EMA trend + ATR volatility) ✅
  • Phase 7: Production execution engine with Bankr swap integration ✅
  • Phase 8: Multi-source real data feed (DeFiLlama + CoinGecko + Base RPC) ✅
  • Phase 9: Uniswap Developer Platform API integration ✅
  • Phase 10: Persistent live trading daemon — RUNNING (cron, 15 experiments/hour, auto-sync) ✅
  • Phase 11: Demo video + Synthesis Hackathon submission published ✅
  • Phase 12: Multi-strategy tournament mode

Prize Tracks

Track Why We Qualify
Open Track Full autonomous research system — AI discovers trading strategies, not just executes them
Let the Agent Cook Fully autonomous 75-experiment loop — zero human intervention, LLM-driven mutations, self-improving
Best Bankr LLM Gateway Use Core dependency — claude-haiku-4.5 via Bankr Gateway generates every strategy mutation. 30 live experiments consumed real Bankr credits. Bankr wallet is the execution layer for live trades.
Agentic Finance / Best Uniswap API Integration Integrated Uniswap Developer Platform API key for pool data access. Backtests against real Uniswap V3 Base pools (ETH/USDC 0.05%, ETH/USDC 0.3%, cbETH/WETH). Multi-source data pipeline with Uniswap V3 subgraph, DeFiLlama, and CoinGecko fallback. Strategy discovers optimal DEX trading parameters autonomously.
Autonomous Trading Agent (Base) Novel approach — AI-discovered strategies vs hand-coded rules. Production execution engine with risk management, live Bankr swaps on Base
Agent Services on Base Installable as OpenClaw skill + Bankr-compatible service. Other agents can import and run autoresearch

Bankr Integration Depth

AutoResearch uses Bankr at three layers:

  1. LLM Gateway — Every strategy mutation is generated by claude-haiku-4.5 via llm.bankr.bot. The system prompt engineers reliable code generation (13% hit rate, 4/30 kept).
  2. Wallet Execution — Live trades execute as natural language swap commands sent to Bankr LLM, which routes to Base DEX (Uniswap V3, Aerodrome).
  3. Balance Tracking — Portfolio state syncs from Bankr wallet for position sizing and risk limits.
// How Bankr powers the mutation loop
const response = await fetch('https://llm.bankr.bot/v1/chat/completions', {
  method: 'POST',
  headers: { 'Authorization': `Bearer ${BANKR_API_KEY}` },
  body: JSON.stringify({
    model: 'claude-haiku-4.5',
    messages: [
      { role: 'system', content: 'Generate ONE strategy mutation...' },
      { role: 'user', content: mutationPrompt }
    ]
  })
});

// How Bankr powers live execution
await callLLM(`Swap 0.1 ETH to USDC on Base with max 0.5% slippage`);

Live Trade Proof — 71+ Verified Transactions on Base

All trades executed autonomously via Bankr wallet on Base mainnet. 100% success rate across 71+ on-chain transactions.

Category Count Description
Original strategy test 1 First live Bankr swap (1 USDC → ETH)
Trade blitz 9 Alternating ETH↔USDC to prove execution pipeline
Continuous execution loop 60 Autonomous round-trip swaps (0.0005 ETH ↔ 1 USDC)
Signal-driven trades 1+ Strategy RSI overlay live trades
x402 micropayment 1 Real EIP-3009 settlement via DARKSOL Facilitator
Total 71+ All verified on Basescan

Sample TXs:

TX Basescan
Original swap 0x752f7393...
x402 payment 0xa3008906...

Full transaction index with all 71+ TX hashes: docs/ON_CHAIN_RECEIPTS.md

Wallet: 0x8f9fa2bfd50079c1767d63effbfe642216bfcb01 — all on Base mainnet, real capital.

x402 Revenue Loop

AutoResearch sells strategy services via x402 micropayments:

  • /strategy/discover — 2.00 USDC (run N experiments)
  • /strategy/validate — 0.50 USDC (out-of-sample validation)
  • /strategy/signal — 0.10 USDC (current signal for any pair)

Revenue → Bankr LLM credits → more experiments → better strategies → more revenue. Self-funding research loop.

First x402 receipt settled on Base via DARKSOL Facilitator (zero fees): TX 0xa3008906...

Dependencies

Package Purpose
None (zero runtime deps) Pure Node.js — indicators, backtest, memory all self-contained
@darksol/terminal (optional) Live trading execution via DARKSOL CLI
@darksol/bankr-router (optional) Smart LLM routing for mutation proposals

Human-Agent Collaboration

Built through continuous collaboration between Meta (human) and Darksol (AI agent on OpenClaw). The agent designed the architecture, implemented all modules, ran experiments, and learned from results — all in real-time conversation.

Agent harness: OpenClaw Primary model: Claude Opus (claude-opus-4-6) Mutation model: Claude Sonnet / Bankr Gateway

Pair Management

Pairs can be managed manually or discovered automatically from on-chain data. Custom pairs persist to data/custom-pairs.json and are automatically included in backtests.

# List all active pairs (built-in + custom)
node scripts/pairs.js list

# Add a custom pair
node scripts/pairs.js add "DEGEN/WETH" 0x4ed4e862860bed51a9570b96d89af5e1b0efefed 0x4200000000000000000000000000000000000006 uniswap 3000

# Remove a custom pair
node scripts/pairs.js remove "DEGEN/WETH"

# Scan top Base DEX pools by TVL (preview)
node scripts/pairs.js discover

# Auto-discover and add top pools
node scripts/pairs.js auto --max 5 --min-tvl 1000000

Programmatic API:

import { addPair, removePair, listPairs, autoDiscoverAndAdd } from './src/discovery.js';

// Add any Base DEX pair on the fly
addPair({ name: 'VIRTUAL/WETH', token0: '0x0b3e...', token1: '0x4200...', dex: 'uniswap', fee: 3000 });

// Auto-scan top Uniswap V3 pools and add missing ones
const result = await autoDiscoverAndAdd({ minTvlUsd: 500_000, maxNewPairs: 5 });

Report Generation

Generate comprehensive human-readable reports from experiment history. Supports Markdown and styled HTML output.

# Full report to stdout
node scripts/report.js

# Save as Markdown
node scripts/report.js --out docs/REPORT.md

# Save as styled HTML (dark theme, viewable in browser)
node scripts/report.js --html docs/report.html

# Top N experiments + pair filter
node scripts/report.js --top 20 --pair ETH/USDC

Report sections:

  • 📊 Summary card (score, Sharpe, return, drawdown, win rate)
  • 📈 Strategy evolution timeline (every kept experiment with score deltas)
  • 📉 ASCII score progression chart
  • 💹 Per-pair breakdown (when available)
  • ⚙️ Current strategy parameters (auto-extracted from code)
  • 🔧 Active trading pairs (built-in + custom)
  • 🏆 Top N experiments ranked by score
  • ❌ Failure pattern analysis (last 10 rejected experiments)
  • 🔩 Full configuration dump

Live Execution

# Paper trading (default — tests strategy with real market data)
node scripts/run-live.js

# Paper trading with regime-aware strategy
node scripts/run-live.js --regime

# Live execution via Bankr wallet (real trades on Base)
node scripts/run-live.js --live --regime --cycles 24

# Custom interval (seconds between cycles)
node scripts/run-live.js --interval 1800 --cycles 48

Risk Management Built In:

  • Max 15% of portfolio per position
  • 5% daily loss limit (auto-halt)
  • Per-trade size caps ($500 paper, $50 live default)
  • Pair allowlist (ETH/USDC, AERO/USDC, cbETH/WETH only)
  • Position clamping against real Bankr balance

Regime Detection

The system identifies 5 market regimes and adapts strategy behavior:

Regime Detection Method Strategy Behavior
Trending Up EMA(20)/EMA(50) crossover + Hurst > 0.6 Momentum following (EMA cross entries)
Trending Down EMA crossover bearish + negative slope Short momentum, tighter stops
Mean Reverting Hurst < 0.4 + low trend score VWAP reversion (proven 0.74 core)
High Volatility ATR > 80th percentile Reduced position size (50%), wider thresholds
Low Volatility ATR < 20th percentile Sit out (no edge, save on fees)

The Hurst exponent is estimated via Rescaled Range (R/S) analysis over the last 100 bars. Values < 0.5 indicate mean-reverting markets, > 0.5 indicates trending.

Stats

Metric Value
Source modules 14
Indicators 10
Tests 51/51 passing
Runtime dependencies 0
Experiments run 237+ (fully autonomous, daemon iterating)
Best score (real data) 8.176 (exp199 — dual-regime portfolio, +10.7% return, 2.2% max DD)
Best score vs baseline +1,842% improvement (0.421 → 8.176)
Strategy eras 4 (VWAP → trend-following → ensemble → dual-regime)
Bankr LLM credits spent ~$0.70
Base DEX pairs 4 (+ custom pair discovery)
Data sources 3 (DeFiLlama + CoinGecko + synthetic fallback)
Live trades on Base 71+ verified TXs (100% success rate)
x402 receipts 1 (EIP-3009 via DARKSOL Facilitator)
Daemon runs 15+ autonomous batches
GitHub commits 53+

Out-of-Sample Validation

Honest results — no cherry-picking:

Dataset Score Sharpe Trades Verdict
Full dataset (in-sample) 8.18 8.18 134 ✅ Baseline
Train 70% (bars 0-491) 8.65 8.65 118 ✅ Strong
Test 30% (bars 491-702) 7.16 8.01 40 PASSED (17% degradation)
Fresh 30-day CoinGecko data -1.14 -2.15 14 ❌ Failed (regime-specific)

Walk-forward validation confirms the strategy generalizes to unseen portions of the same market period. Fresh data failure is expected and honest — the strategy is tuned for the training regime. This is exactly why the daemon runs continuously — it discovers new strategies as market regimes change.

Related — Synthesis Agent (Submission #1)

This is DARKSOL's second Synthesis Hackathon submission. Our first:

  • Synthesis Agent — Autonomous agent economy orchestrator. Trades, evaluates markets with AI, pays its own LLM bills, outsources skills to other agents via ERC-8183 on-chain escrow. 16 modules, 62 tests, 5 deployed contracts, 10+ on-chain transactions.

AutoResearch complements Synthesis Agent: where Synthesis Agent executes strategies, AutoResearch discovers them.

Testing

npm test
# 45 tests, 0 failures, ~150ms

# Test suites:
# - indicators.test.js — 10 indicator unit tests
# - backtest.test.js — backtester with scoring validation
# - regime.test.js — regime detection (trend, volatility, Hurst, combined)
# - executor.test.js — execution engine (paper trades, risk limits, state tracking)
# - discovery.test.js — pair management (add, remove, deduplicate, persist)

Inspiration & Acknowledgments

  • Andrej Karpathy — autoresearch — The original concept: give an AI agent a training setup and let it experiment autonomously overnight. Karpathy's system modifies train.py, trains for 5 minutes, keeps or discards, and repeats. We adapted this loop from LLM training to DEX trading strategy discovery — same philosophy (mutate → evaluate → keep/revert → learn), different domain.

    "One day, frontier AI research used to be done by meat computers in between eating, sleeping, having other fun... That era is long gone." — @karpathy, March 2026

  • OpenClaw — Lossless Context Management (LCM) — The memory system that makes our research loop convergent instead of random. LCM provides DAG-based conversation summarization that preserves every detail losslessly. We use it to give the agent persistent cross-session memory of all experiments — the agent queries what worked, what failed, and what parameter ranges are exhausted before proposing mutations. Without LCM, each session would start from scratch.

Submission Documentation

Document Description
Build Log Full development timeline with timestamps
Conversation Log Complete human-agent collaboration record
Test Results Full test output — 45/45 passing
On-Chain Receipts Verified Basescan TX + Bankr LLM credit usage
Experiment Index All experiments with scores and status
Strategy Report Full human-readable report (run node scripts/report.js)

License

MIT


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Autonomous DEX strategy discovery — Karpathy-style autoresearch with LCM memory | Synthesis Hackathon 2026 | Base DEX | Uniswap V3 + Aerodrome | OpenClaw + Bankr

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