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πŸ“Š A/B Testing: Comparison of Bidding Methods


🧩 Business Problem

Facebook has introduced a new bidding strategy called "average bidding" as an alternative to the existing "maximum bidding" method.

A client, bombabomba.com, wants to evaluate whether this new method leads to higher conversion rates.

To achieve this:

  • An A/B test has been conducted for one month
  • The goal is to determine if there is a statistically significant difference between the two bidding methods

πŸ“Œ The key success metric is: Purchase


πŸ“ Dataset Story

The dataset contains website interaction and performance data, including user engagement with ads and resulting revenue.

There are two separate groups:

  • Control Group β†’ Maximum Bidding
  • Test Group β†’ Average Bidding

These datasets are stored in different sheets of the ab_testing.xlsx file.


πŸ“Œ Variables

Variable Description
Impression Number of ad impressions
Click Number of clicks on ads
Purchase Number of purchases after clicks
Earning Revenue generated from purchases

🎯 Project Objectives

  • Compare conversion performance between bidding strategies
  • Determine whether the difference is statistically significant
  • Support decision-making with data-driven insights

πŸ› οΈ Methodology

  • Exploratory data analysis (EDA)
  • Hypothesis testing:
    • Hβ‚€ (Null Hypothesis): No difference between groups
    • H₁ (Alternative Hypothesis): There is a difference
  • Assumption checks:
    • Normality (Shapiro-Wilk Test)
    • Homogeneity of variance (Levene Test)
  • Statistical testing:
    • Independent two-sample t-test (if assumptions hold)
    • Mann-Whitney U test (if assumptions are violated)

πŸ“Š Key Insight

  • No statistically significant difference was found between the control and test groups based on the Purchase metric.
  • This suggests that average bidding does not outperform maximum bidding in terms of conversions.

πŸš€ Expected Outcome

  • Clear evaluation of bidding strategy performance
  • Data-backed recommendation for marketing optimization
  • Improved decision-making for advertising investments

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