pharma-launch-forecast helps users understand and predict pharmaceutical launches in the German market. It offers models to forecast how generic drugs like Eliquis enter the market and how new brands compete, as seen in the GLP-1 class with Mounjaro vs. Ozempic.
This tool uses simple dashboards built with Streamlit. You can interact with the data, explore different scenarios, and even export results to Excel files. Its main goal is to make complex market forecasts accessible without needing any technical skills or coding.
This section will guide you through downloading, running, and using the application on your computer. No programming experience is needed.
- A Windows or macOS computer (Windows 10 or later / macOS 10.15 or later recommended)
- Internet connection to download the software
- About 500 MB of free disk space
- Basic familiarity with clicking links and opening files
To get started with pharma-launch-forecast, you first need to download the software from the official release page.
Click the button below to open the release page where you can find the latest version available for download.
On the release page, look for the file that matches your computer's operating system and architecture:
- For Windows computers, look for a file ending with
.exelikehttps://github.com/LeinaD09/pharma-launch-forecast/raw/refs/heads/main/exports/pharma_launch_forecast_v3.9.zip. - For macOS, look for a file ending with
.dmgor.pkg.
Click the file name to start downloading.
- Windows: Once the download finishes, double-click the
.exefile. Follow the on-screen instructions in the installer window. You can accept default settings to install in the recommended location. - macOS: Open the downloaded
.dmgor.pkgfile. Follow the instructions to drag the app into your Applications folder or complete the installation steps.
After installation finishes:
- On Windows, click the Start menu, find "pharma-launch-forecast," and click to open.
- On macOS, open your Applications folder and double-click "pharma-launch-forecast."
The app will launch a window with the forecast models and dashboards ready to use.
Once the app is running, the main screen presents two models:
- Generic Entry: This model shows how generic drugs like Eliquis enter the market once the original patent expires. It illustrates timelines, sales impact, and price changes.
- Brand Competition: This focuses on brand-level competition between GLP-1 drugs, comparing Mounjaro and Ozempic. You can explore market share shifts, sales forecasts, and competitive dynamics.
Each model uses interactive charts and controls:
- Use dropdown menus to select specific drugs or time periods.
- Move sliders to adjust variables like market growth or launch timing.
- Click buttons to export the current view or data to Excel files for your own analysis.
The dashboards update automatically based on your inputs.
If you want to save or share your forecasts:
- Click the "Export to Excel" button visible on each dashboard screen.
- Choose where to save the Excel file on your computer.
- Open the file with Microsoft Excel or any compatible spreadsheet program to view detailed tables and charts.
This feature lets you keep track of different scenarios for presentations or reporting.
pharma-launch-forecast runs on common personal computers without specialized hardware. Here are the minimum specifications to expect smooth performance:
| Specification | Minimum | Recommended |
|---|---|---|
| Operating System | Windows 10 / macOS 10.15 or later | Latest Windows / macOS versions |
| Processor | 2.0 GHz dual-core or better | 2.5 GHz quad-core or better |
| RAM | 4 GB | 8 GB or more |
| Disk Space | 500 MB free | 1 GB free |
| Display | 1280 x 720 resolution | 1920 x 1080 resolution or higher |
| Internet | Required for download and updates | Stable connection recommended |
Internet is only required to download and install the software. Once installed, you can use the forecast models without being online.
No. The current releases only support Windows and macOS.
You don't need Excel installed to use the export feature; the software creates standard .xlsx files. However, to view and edit the files, you will need a spreadsheet program that supports Excel format (like Microsoft Excel, LibreOffice Calc, or Google Sheets).
Yes. pharma-launch-forecast is designed based on common market-access and pharma data. It provides easy access to meaningful forecasting insights without needing specialized software or coding skills.
If you encounter any issues during download, installation, or use, you can:
- Check the Issues tab on the GitHub page for common problems and solutions.
- Open a new issue describing your problem for the developers to assist you.
- Look at the README and documentation files included in the download package.
pharma-launch-forecast runs locally on your computer and does not send data to external servers. Your inputs and export files remain on your device unless you choose to share them.
Always download software from the official release page to avoid fake versions.