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Forecasting energy availability from renewable sources

In the current climate of soaring energy prices, the company wants to offer a new service by which local clients that are near a source of renewable energy will have free energy when there is a surplus of energy in that area. In this system can reliably predict, at least 24 hours in advance, whether there will be a surplus of either wind or solar energy and it will send out an alert to the customers in the area to allow them to opt-in to the slot.

Install

install requirements.txt in a Python>=3.11.0 environment pip install -r requirements.txt # install

Resourses

Exploration_preprocessing.ipynb contains the data exploration code for wether data in colchester and Brighton. Run the notebook and it will extract data form 'weatherdata_for_students' dataset. By changing filetype you can extract 'brighton' data or 'Colchester' data

filetype='brighton' for file in file_list: filenames = file.split('\\')[1].split('_')[0]

Modeling.ipynb notebook contains the Model, trainging and prediction. After running the all cells you can get system Recommendations base in our assumptions

training training

Prediction Prediction

Recommendation Recommendation

Assumptions

  1. Wind Energy Calculations Wind Energy

    Power (W) = 1/2 x ρ x A x v3 Power = Watts

  • ρ (rho, a Greek letter) = density of the air in kg/m3 -The standard(link is external) density of air is 1.225 kg/m3
  • A = cross-sectional area of the wind in m2 - The turbine has a 24 m diameter, which means the radius is 12 m. Thus, the swept area of the turbine is: (pi)r2 = 3.14159(122) = 452.4 m2
  • v = velocity of the wind in m/s
  1. Solar Energy Calculation - using 4 panale and convert megaW to kiloWatt

  2. Number of houses in brighton-b5 area. houses - 3,067 houses

  3. average electricity usage per month in UK households is about 350kWh electricity Usage

  4. Daily usage 350/31 = 11.29 Kwh

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Forecasting energy availability from renewable sources

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