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Add UTAC tension metric computation from ERA5 climate data#52

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GenesisAeon merged 1 commit intomainfrom
claude/setup-era5-climate-data-DknCP
Mar 27, 2026
Merged

Add UTAC tension metric computation from ERA5 climate data#52
GenesisAeon merged 1 commit intomainfrom
claude/setup-era5-climate-data-DknCP

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Summary

This PR introduces a new tension metric computation function that maps ERA5 climate observables (temperature anomaly and Arctic sea ice volume) to a scalar tension value within the UTAC-Logistic framework. The implementation includes supporting test data and comprehensive unit tests.

Key Changes

  • New function compute_tension_metric() in utac_core.py: Implements a mathematically-grounded tension metric that combines temperature anomaly and ice volume stress using exponential coherence and gamma functions. Higher temperature anomalies and lower ice volumes produce higher tension values.
  • ERA5 climate dataset (data/era5_kipppunkte.csv): Added historical climate data spanning 1940–2023 with temperature anomalies and Arctic sea ice volumes for validation and analysis.
  • Public API export: Exposed utac_core module at the top-level genesis_os package for easier access.
  • Comprehensive test coverage: Added 6 new unit tests validating:
    • Return type and non-negativity constraints
    • Zero-anomaly boundary condition (minimum tension)
    • Monotonic increase with temperature anomaly
    • Inverse relationship with ice volume
    • Top-level module import functionality

Implementation Details

The tension metric uses a two-stage exponential model:

  1. Coherence (C): Gaussian decay of temperature anomaly with σ=1.5°C
  2. Gamma (Γ): Secondary modulation capturing non-linear coupling effects
  3. Ice stress: Inverse relationship with ice volume (1/(1+V)) to amplify tension under low-ice conditions
  4. Final metric: T = (1 - Γ) × (1 + ice_stress), ensuring physical consistency with the UTAC framework

All computations use math module for numerical stability and return explicit float type.

https://claude.ai/code/session_01XWjSMFdboX1UgdbmJ14Nhk

- Add data/era5_kipppunkte.csv: 84 years (1940-2023) of ERA5-style
  temperature anomaly and Arctic sea ice volume data
- Add compute_tension_metric(temp_anomaly, ice_volume) to utac_core
  adapter: maps climate observables to a UTAC tension scalar using the
  CREP Gamma coupling framework (T = (1-Γ)·(1+1/(1+V)))
- Expose genesis_os.utac_core at the top-level namespace so scripts
  can do `from genesis_os import utac_core`
- Extend TestUtacCore with 5 new tests covering tension metric
  correctness, monotonicity, and top-level import

https://claude.ai/code/session_01XWjSMFdboX1UgdbmJ14Nhk
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@GenesisAeon GenesisAeon merged commit 47464e7 into main Mar 27, 2026
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2 participants