_quarto-gdp-trajectories.yml

project:
  type: website
  output-dir: _site/gdp-trajectories
  execute-dir: project
  resources:
    - knowledge/data/
    - assets/
    - _redirects
    - robots.txt
    - llms.txt
  render:
    # Paper is copied to index.qmd by render script
    - index.qmd
    - knowledge/appendix/parameters-and-calculations.qmd

# Custom fields for render-quarto.py
dih-render:
  emoji: "📉"
  index-source: knowledge/economics/gdp-trajectories.qmd
  redirect-from: https://futures.warondisease.org
  fallback-404-redirect-domain: https://manual.WarOnDisease.org
  pdf-output-file: gdp-trajectories-paper.pdf
  netlify-site-id: "7459777b-36c9-45ef-9307-f47434d0acc2"
  netlify-cname: "gdp-trajectories-warondisease-org.netlify.app"
  show-confidence-intervals: true
  concept-terms:
    - term: "Destructive Economy"
      manual-target: knowledge/economics/gdp-trajectories.qmd
      aliases:
        - "Parasitic Economy"
        - "GDP Trajectories"
  favicon-prompt: "A fork in a road, one path ascending to stars, the other descending into flames."

profiles:
  default:
    dotenv:
      allowEmptyValues: true

author:
  - name: Mike P. Sinn
    email: m@warondisease.org
    orcid: 0009-0006-0212-1094
    affiliations:
      - name: "Institute for Accelerated Medicine"
        url: https://acceleratedmedicine.org

website:
  title: "Choose Your Own Earth: A World Without the Political Dysfunction Tax, or Terminal Parasitic Load in 15 Years"
  description: "Your destructive economy (military spending plus cybercrime) is already 11.5% of GDP and growing faster than your productive economy. At current rates, it reaches the Soviet collapse threshold in 8 years and exceeds productive output in 15. This paper models two GDP trajectories: the optimized path under military-to-medical reallocation, and the default path to civilizational collapse."
  site-url: https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/economics/gdp-trajectories.html
  favicon: assets/icons/gdp-trajectories-favicon.png
  page-navigation: true
  page-footer:
    left: "© 2025 [Institute for Accelerated Medicine](https://acceleratedmedicine.org) | [CC BY-NC 4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/)"
    center: "[PDF](/gdp-trajectories-paper.pdf) | [All Papers](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/papers.html)"
    right: "[VOTE](https://WarOnDisease.org)"
  navbar:
    right:
      - text: "1% Treaty"
        href: https://1-pct-treaty-impact.warondisease.org
      - text: "Peace Dividend"
        href: https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/economics/peace-dividend.html
      - text: "Calculations"
        href: knowledge/appendix/parameters-and-calculations.qmd
      - text: "VOTE"
        href: https://WarOnDisease.org

execute:
  fig-path: "knowledge/figures/"
  cache: false
  freeze: auto
  daemon: 300
  daemon-restart: false
  env:
    PYTHONPATH: "."

metadata:
  importance: 97
  creator: "Mike P. Sinn"
  orcid: "0009-0006-0212-1094"
  primary-author: "Mike P. Sinn"
  byline: "Mike P. Sinn"
  human-author: "Mike P. Sinn"
  author-email: "mike@warondisease.org"
  author-url: "https://mikesinn.com"
  author-website: "https://mikesinn.com"
  contact: "mike@warondisease.org"
  language: "en-US"
  subject: "Macroeconomics, GDP Trajectories, Military Spending, Cybercrime, Civilizational Risk, Peace Economics"
  category: "Academic Paper, Macroeconomics, Policy Analysis"
  coi-statement: "The author declares no competing interests, unless you count a preference for civilization continuing to exist, which the author shares with most economists and all of their retirement accounts."
  data-availability: "All data and code used in this analysis are publicly available at https://github.com/wishonia/earth-optimization-protocol"
  ethics-statement: "This research did not involve human subjects. The destructive economy was not consulted about being modeled, as it was busy growing at 12.6% per year."
  funding: "This research received no funding. The author notes that the cost of producing this paper is a rounding error on the $13.2 trillion destructive economy it documents."
  github-profile: "https://github.com/mikepsinn"
  linkedin: "https://www.linkedin.com/in/mikesinn"
  orcid-url: "https://orcid.org/0009-0006-0212-1094"
  google-scholar: "https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=RjDd_qcAAAAJ"
  keywords:
    - gdp-trajectories
    - destructive-economy
    - parasitic-economy
    - military-spending
    - cybercrime
    - civilizational-collapse
    - peace-dividend
    - economic-growth
    - reallocation
    - compound-growth
    - expected-value
  version: "0.1"
  edition: "Working Draft"
  copyright: "© 2025 The Institute for Accelerated Medicine"
  copyright-year: "2025"
  license: "CC BY-NC 4.0"
  license-url: "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/"
  rights: "Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License"
  publisher: "Institute for Accelerated Medicine"
  publisher-url: "https://acceleratedmedicine.org"
  publisher-name: "Mike P. Sinn"
  publisher-email: "mike@warondisease.org"
  repo-url: "https://github.com/wishonia/earth-optimization-protocol"
  issue-url: "https://github.com/wishonia/earth-optimization-protocol/issues"
  source-url: "https://github.com/wishonia/earth-optimization-protocol"
  geographic-coverage: "Global"
  audience: "Policy Makers, Economists, Defense Analysts, Peace Researchers, Risk Analysts"
  format: "Working Paper"
  type: "Academic"
  genre: "Macroeconomics, Peace Economics, Civilizational Risk Analysis"
  medium: "Digital"
  twitter-site: "https://x.com/warondisease"
  twitter-creator: "https://x.com/warondisease"
  og-site-name: "Choose Your Own Earth"

  # Identifiers
  # Zenodo Concept DOI (stable across all versions - use for citations and new versions)
  doi: "10.5281/zenodo.19076850"

  # Open Graph metadata
  open-graph: true
  image: "https://manual.warondisease.org/assets/og/gdp-trajectories-og-1200x630.jpg"

  # Publication tracking
  publishing:
    own-site:
      url: "https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/economics/gdp-trajectories.html"
      status: pending
    preprints:
      - platform: zenodo
        status: auto-uploaded
        url: "https://zenodo.org/record/19076850"
      - platform: ssrn
        status: pending
        url: ""
    journals:
      - name: "Journal of Peace Research"
        tier: 1
        status: target
        url: ""
      - name: "Defence and Peace Economics"
        tier: 2
        status: target
        url: ""
      - name: "Journal of Conflict Resolution"
        tier: 1
        status: target
        url: ""

# Remove "Appendix" prefix
language:
  crossref-apx-prefix: ""
  section-title-appendices: ""

# Bibliography: Single source of truth for all citations
bibliography: references.bib
csl: nature-annotated.csl

jupyter: dih-project-kernel

format:
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    theme:
      - cosmo
    mermaid:
      theme: neutral
    echo: false
    number-sections: true
    toc: true
    toc-depth: 3
    css:
      - styles.css
      - economics-overrides.css
    include-before-body:
      - file: assets/html/page-loader.html
    include-after-body:
      - file: assets/html/site-enhancements-loader.html
    include-in-footer:
      - file: assets/html/generated-footer.html
    include-in-header:
      - text: |
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          <link rel="icon" type="image/png" sizes="512x512" href="/assets/icons/gdp-trajectories-android-chrome-512x512.png">
      - file: assets/html/google-analytics.html
      - file: assets/html/hypothesis.html
      - file: assets/html/fonts-preload.html
    citation-hover: true
    code-fold: true
    link-citations: true
    smooth-scroll: true
    code-tools: false
    filters: [assets/filters/live-version-note.lua]
  pdf:
    output-file: "gdp-trajectories-paper.pdf"
    documentclass: article
    institute: "Institute for Accelerated Medicine"
    echo: false
    toc: true
    toc-depth: 3
    number-sections: true
    colorlinks: true
    link-citations: true
    date: ""
    include-in-header:
      - callout-bw.tex
      - institute-header.tex
      - text: |
          \paperurl{https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/economics/gdp-trajectories.html}
    geometry:
      - top=1in
      - bottom=1in
      - left=1in
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