Risk Score Calculation #13
Description
We need to calculate a Riskscore.
For a better understanding I have here a short description of the procedure by means of a current example:
My brother was just here in my office.
If he and I would both use Pandoa we would now know via GPS that we probably had contact.
If he has been infected only a few days ago, he would develop first symptoms in 10 days. He would probably not do a test or only very late, because he would hardly develop serious symptoms (age 35 years).
So if he reports in 14-20 days, I would not get any information before then. By the time I am tested again, the other contacts will receive information much too late.
With exponential growth this is all much too slow. Until then there would be millions of cases.
Our platform should therefore calculate the personal risk. This results from your own current condition/status (symptoms, quarantine, risk areas) and the risk of linked contacts (or the contacts determined via GPS).
This risk then flows dynamically into the individual risks of 1st degree, 2nd degree contacts, etc.
So I could see daily how high my pot. risk is. The authorities and researchers would also see this data in the same way. So all decisions and predictions can be made much more accurately and above all MUCH HERE.
I see this as the most elementary and important approach of our application.
Speed is the only right solution with exponential distribution!
See: #1
for more reasons why and on what databasis.