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Description
Overview
I have been using DraftGap frequently and seeing the draft come together is fantastic. However, I have identified a specific issue regarding how the tool handles "off-meta" picks that persists regardless of current settings.
Currently, the tool tends to recommend niche, off-meta picks—such as Singed Mid or Ivern Top. While these champions possess high win rates in those roles, that data is heavily inflated by OTPs.
Why Current Solutions Aren't Working
- "Ignore Individual Champion Winrates": Toggling this creates a new problem. It treats a 53% WR meta champion the same as a 46% WR weak champion. This "flattens" the data spectrum, penalizing high-performing meta picks while artificially boosting underperforming ones.
- "Risk Level" Settings: Even when setting the tool to "Low Risk," these OTP-skewed picks often still appear. While Risk Level seems to weigh confidence intervals/variance, it does not act as a hard floor. Consequently, a champion with an exceptionally high win rate (even with a tiny sample) often bypasses the Low Risk filter, leading to recommendations that are statistically "strong" but practically useless for a standard draft.
Proposed Solution: Minimum Pick Rate Toggle
I request the addition of a "Minimum Pick Rate Threshold" (e.g., a slider or toggle to exclude champions with <0.5% or <1% pick rate in a specific role).
Addressing Potential Concerns (Data Cost & Integrity)
I anticipate a concern regarding data costs or sample size integrity, specifically regarding the Lolalytics API limits. However, this feature should not negatively impact those areas for the following reasons:
- No Additional API Cost: unlike requesting specific Rank filtering (e.g., "Diamond+ only"), which would require fetching entirely new datasets and doubling the cost imposed on Lolalytics, a Pick Rate filter is a post-processing operation. It operates on the dataset you have already fetched. It simply hides existing rows based on the
pick_ratecolumn rather than requesting new data. - Negligible Impact on Sample Size: Filtering out low pick-rate champions will not create data scarcity issues. By definition, removing champions with a <1% pick rate only removes a tiny fraction of the total matches analyzed. The integrity of the data for the remaining 99% of the roster remains untouched.
Summary of Benefits
By adding a hard filter for pick rates, we can eliminate specific low % counter-pick noise and OTP inflation without sacrificing the accuracy of high-win-rate meta champions. This will bridge the gap between raw math and practical drafting, preventing the tool from suggesting Singed Mid simply because three specialists have a 60% win rate on it.