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I've looked through your code and the paper Variational principal components.
And I found you compute exception such as <W.T.dot(W)> by tr(q.w_mean).dot(q.w_mean).
However, for gaussian distribution, there is <x.dot(x.T)> = cov + mu.dot(mu.T). So I think you should add the cov term?
Am I right?
I am doing the same job right row, but I found the variational lower bound decrease sometimes, hope that you can have a try. ^_^
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