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- A prediction model will be deployed in settings where treatment policies differ from the training setting
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- Predictions are meant to support decisions about treatment initiation
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- You need valid performance estimates even when the prediction model is misspecified
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- You want to assess model performance after transporting from a source (e.g., RCT) to a target population
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Based on Boyer, Dahabreh & Steingrimsson (2025). "Estimating and evaluating counterfactual prediction models." *Statistics in Medicine*, 44(23-24), e70287. [doi:10.1002/sim.70287](https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.70287)
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## Transportability Analysis
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The package also implements transportability estimators from Voter et al. (2025) for evaluating prediction model performance when transporting from a source population (typically an RCT) to a target population:
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The package also implements transportability estimators from Steingrimsson et al. (2022) and Voter et al. (2025) for evaluating prediction model performance when transporting from a source population (typically an RCT) to a target population:
Steingrimsson JA, Gatsonis C, Li B, Dahabreh IJ. Transporting a Prediction Model for Use in a New Target Population. *American Journal of Epidemiology*. 2022; 192(2):296-304. doi:[10.1093/aje/kwac128](https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwac128)
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Voter SR, et al. Transportability of machine learning-based counterfactual prediction models with application to CASS. *Diagnostic and Prognostic Research*. 2025; 9(4). doi:[10.1186/s41512-025-00201-y](https://doi.org/10.1186/s41512-025-00201-y)
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```bibtex
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doi={10.1002/sim.70287}
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}
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@article{10.1093/aje/kwac128,
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title = {Transporting a Prediction Model for Use in a New Target Population},
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author = {Steingrimsson, Jon A. and Gatsonis, Constantine and Li, Bing and Dahabreh, Issa J.},
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journal = {American Journal of Epidemiology},
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volume = {192},
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number = {2},
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pages = {296-304},
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year = {2022},
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doi = {10.1093/aje/kwac128}
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}
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@article{voter2025transportability,
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title={Transportability of machine learning-based counterfactual prediction models with application to CASS},
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author={Voter, Sarah R. and others},
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author = {Voter, Sarah C. and Dahabreh, Issa J. and Boyer, Christopher B. and Rahbar, Habib and Kontos, Despina and Steingrimsson, Jon A.},
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