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analysis.json
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57 lines (57 loc) · 1.11 KB
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{
"generated_at": "2026-03-05T20:09:12.364139",
"last_price": 71074.02,
"p_yes_by_strike": {
"-0.50%": {
"strike": 70718.65,
"p_yes": 0.9,
"p_no": 0.1
},
"-0.25%": {
"strike": 70896.33,
"p_yes": 0.7956,
"p_no": 0.2044
},
"-0.10%": {
"strike": 71002.95,
"p_yes": 0.6352,
"p_no": 0.3648
},
"+0.00%": {
"strike": 71074.02,
"p_yes": 0.4713,
"p_no": 0.5287
},
"+0.10%": {
"strike": 71145.09,
"p_yes": 0.3897,
"p_no": 0.6103
},
"+0.25%": {
"strike": 71251.71,
"p_yes": 0.2519,
"p_no": 0.7481
},
"+0.50%": {
"strike": 71429.39,
"p_yes": 0.1042,
"p_no": 0.8958
}
},
"outlook_1h": {
"trend": "neutral",
"drift_pct": 0.0745,
"range_low": 70576.18,
"range_high": 71623.32,
"q10_terminal": 70576.18,
"q90_terminal": 71623.32,
"spread": 1047.14,
"volatility_proxy": 1.4733
},
"forecast_summary": {
"median_next_15m": 71048.7,
"median_next_1h": 71126.97,
"q10_next_1h": 70576.18,
"q90_next_1h": 71623.32
}
}