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Changelog

All notable changes to this project are documented here.

[Unreleased]

Added

  • Single-instance runtime lock (/tmp/kraken_bot.lock) to prevent duplicate bot processes.
  • Asset pair validation + normalization against Kraken AssetPairs (e.g. XXBTZEUR -> XBTEUR).
  • Dynamic buy sizing and additional insufficient-funds safeguards before order placement.
  • Global and per-pair trade cooldown controls.
  • Fee-aware reconstruction of position quantity, average entry, realized PnL, and fees from Kraken history.
  • Per-coin metrics logging and adaptive take-profit controls.
  • Trade counter reconstruction from Kraken history on startup.
  • Trade history pagination support in API wrapper (fetch_all=True) with offset paging.
  • Ledger pagination support in API wrapper via get_ledgers(..., fetch_all=True).
  • Startup balance baseline is now fixed (Start) and external cashflows are tracked separately from Kraken ledger (NetCF deposits/withdrawals).
  • Mentor-v2 risk hardening: regime filter (auto), hard stop-loss, time-stop, daily loss limit guard, and risk-off position sizing.
  • Multi-edge signal engine updated: mean-reversion + trend-following continuation triggers.
  • Re-entry tuning made more aggressive: min_buy_score 20 -> 14, regime_min_score -5 -> -12, risk_off_allocation_multiplier 0.35 -> 0.60.
  • Mentor-v3 adaptive controls added to live bot: volatility-targeted sizing (target_volatility_pct) and loss-streak circuit breaker (max_consecutive_losses + cooldown pause).
  • Added detailed research simulator scripts/backtest_v3_detailed.py for 30d tests with fee/slippage, regime switch behavior, and long/short/scalp estimation.
  • Added live autonomous short execution path (Kraken margin) with capped short notional and configurable leverage.
  • Added autonomous MTF regime scoring (trend + momentum + volatility penalty) to improve risk-on/off switching quality.
  • Added yearly prod-vs-dev benchmark runner: scripts/prod_dev_yearly_backtest.py.
  • Added prod-vs-dev promotion gate checker: scripts/release_gate_prod_dev.py.
  • Added NAS data collector for 5y OHLC research on Volume: scripts/collect_kraken_history.py.
  • Added research progress overview tool: scripts/research_progress.py.
  • Added incremental/resumable NAS collector with trading-first throttling and local lock: scripts/collect_kraken_history_incremental.py.
  • Added txid-free trade summary log lines for stream-safe display (pair + size + EUR notional only).
  • Branch model simplified to main (live) and dev (research); deprecated prod branch.

[2026-02-13]

Added

  • Autonomous iterative improvement loop (scripts/autosim_main_dev_loop.sh) with 24/7 NAS data validation (30d + 1y backtests).
  • Parallel AI agents for bot optimization: book strategies (Carter, Williams, Brooks), data pattern mining, risk/metrics improvement.
  • Switched subagents to Grok model (github-copilot/grok-code-fast-1) for code generation and strategy ideation.
  • Enhanced evaluation metrics: Sharpe/Sortino-Ratio, Kelly Criterion position sizing, drawdown limits.
  • Data-driven pattern analysis on NAS historical trades for entry/exit signals.

Changed

  • Sell behavior hardened around configured profit target logic (current operating rule: only sell when target criteria are met; base target 10%).
  • Signal filtering tightened in analysis.py to reduce low-quality entries.
  • Config validation in utils.py improved to fail safer on invalid/missing settings.
  • Startup log behavior: fresh logs/bot_activity.log on bot start when configured.
  • Trade counter now uses all trades since 2026-01-01 (YTD) instead of a single default page.
  • Reduced log noise for pair normalization: identical Pair normalized: A -> B messages are now logged once per bot runtime instead of repeating at each config reload.
  • Runtime status output now includes Start, NetCF, and AdjPnL so deposits do not distort baseline performance reading.

Fixed

  • Repeated EQuery:Unknown asset pair issues from invalid pair usage (notably MATICEUR) through pair validation.
  • Reduced EOrder:Insufficient funds noise with stronger pre-checks and sizing.
  • Duplicate-process side effects (conflicting counters/order flow) via lockfile enforcement.
  • Counter reset behavior (Trades: 0 after restart) by rebuilding count from Kraken history.

[2026-02-10]

Bot/runtime updates applied today

  • Integrated and deployed safety/consistency improvements across:
    • main.py
    • trading_bot.py
    • analysis.py
    • kraken_interface.py
    • utils.py
    • config.toml
  • Pushed commits related to these updates, including recent:
    • ba293df – Persist displayed trade counter from Kraken history across restarts
    • b422a00 – Load full Kraken trade history since Jan 2026 for trade counter

Current operating behavior snapshot

  • Multi-pair EUR trading with validated symbols.
  • Profit-target-driven exits (10% base target policy currently in use).
  • Cooldown + funds-aware execution pipeline.
  • Restart-safe state recovery (positions + trade counter) from Kraken history.