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@ncparker @blyeo We need to get a more concrete plan into how your optimization code will fit into this decision tool, and if we really want the optimization code. Justin's code is coming along pretty nicely. You can now choose a delivered cost for poplar, and it will predict how much you can expect to get. You can imagine something like where we give you a break even cost for every parcel (in increasing order, as is in)
| cost | parcel | crop | cost | price | poplar_yield | poplar_cost | transportation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | A | 'wheat' | 4 | 1.96 | 13 | 10 | 15 |
| 27 | A | 'wheat' | 4 | 1.96 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| .... |
Where that cost is the point at which poplar=swapped crop over (5? 20?) years.
However, not sure if you want to see all the nitty gritty details on the swaped parcel information.
I think what we really need are specifics on the economics of the refinery, So that we can convert this to what the adoption would be for a specific refinery. If we can get those into a set of inputs that you can tweak, then all the better. Then we could include that part of the decision making into the tools as well. Like you select the size of the refinery, (Make adjustments to capital costs for retrofits) and then go.
It's hard to see how to get the IMPLAN part into that however.